President Donald Trump's approval rating is reported to have seen a significant shift in what is considered to be the 'most accurate poll.'

Trump was reported to have a 44% "favorable" rating and a -1% net rating in the latest I&I/Tipp Insights poll for the month of June, having previously scored a 42% approval rating and a -5% for the month of May. The I&I/Tipp Insights poll, which has a +/-2.7% margin of error, was recognized as the most accurate poll as it was the only one to correctly identify the winner in each of the last six presidential elections and has accurately predicted results while bucking trends of other polls.

Trump is otherwise reported to have dropped to his lowest approval rating among independent voters of any point in his second presidential term, according to Decision Desk HQ. The president currently has a 33.9% approval rating and a 60.7% disapproval rating, the lowest and highest percentages, respectively, among independents since his January 21 inauguration.

Last week, Trump was reported to have hit a new low in the Economist/YouGov poll released amid his decision to bomb three Iranian nuclear sites. The poll, which was in the field during the announcement of the airstrikes and released on June 24, showed that Trump's net approval rating was -14, with a 40% approval rating and 54% disapproval rating, the lowest of any point during his second term and lower than most of his first term.

Additionally, Americans are more likely to disapprove than approve Trump's handling of various issues including national security (-2 net approval), immigration (-4), jobs and the economy (-12), foreign policy (-14), foreign trade (-16), the conflict between Israel and Iran (-17), and inflation/prices (-26), according to the poll. Earlier in the week, the Economist reported that Trump had an unfavorable approval rating in 15 states he won during the 2024 presidential election.

The president was reported to have a negative approval rating in 15 of the 31 states he won, including the battleground states of Michigan (-11%), Nevada (-12%), North Carolina (-8%), Wisconsin (-13%), Arizona (-12%), Pennsylvania (-12%) and Georgia (-6%), as well as the commonly conservative states of Texas (-8%), Ohio (-6%), Utah (-5%), Iowa (-4%), Kansas (-4%), Florida (-3%), Indiana (-3%) and Missouri (-2%). Trump was reported to be "lowest in states that tend to vote for Democrats" and lost to former Vice President Kamala Harris during the 2024 election such as Washington, D.C. (-73%), California (-31%), New York (-24%), Maryland (-36%), Massachusetts (-36%) and Washington (-28%).

The president was, however, retaining positive approval ratings in several deep Republican states such as Alabama (+12%), Alaska (+10%), Arkansas (+25%), Kentucky (+9%) and South Carolina (+16%). Earlier this month, Morning Consult survey reported that Trump's approval rating once again took a downward turn after seeing a brief rebound.

The poll showed that Trump's "approval rebound looks to be over" as only 46% of respondents approved his job performance and 52% disapproved, mirroring responses from earlier polls conducted through April and early May amid criticism over his sweeping tariffs.

“Following a few weeks of improved numbers, Trump’s approval ratings are once again trending downward,” the Morning Consult analysis states. "Our latest survey shows 46% approve and 52% disapprove of his job performance, similar to his standing throughout much of April and in early May, when his global trade war was inducing acute economic anxiety among Americans."

At Home with Gary Sullivan

At Home with Gary Sullivan